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Perioperative atrial fibrillation and the long-term risk of ischemic stroke.

TitlePerioperative atrial fibrillation and the long-term risk of ischemic stroke.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2014
AuthorsGialdini G, Nearing K, Bhave PD, Bonuccelli U, Iadecola C, Healey JS, Kamel H
JournalJAMA
Volume312
Issue6
Pagination616-22
Date Published2014 Aug 13
ISSN1538-3598
KeywordsAdult, Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Perioperative Period, Proportional Hazards Models, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stroke, Surgical Procedures, Operative
Abstract

IMPORTANCE: Clinically apparent atrial fibrillation increases the risk of ischemic stroke. In contrast, perioperative atrial fibrillation may be viewed as a transient response to physiological stress, and the long-term risk of stroke after perioperative atrial fibrillation is unclear.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between perioperative atrial fibrillation and the long-term risk of stroke.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study using administrative claims data on patients hospitalized for surgery (as defined by surgical diagnosis related group codes), and discharged alive and free of documented cerebrovascular disease or preexisting atrial fibrillation from nonfederal California acute care hospitals between 2007 and 2011. Patients undergoing cardiac vs other types of surgery were analyzed separately.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Previously validated diagnosis codes were used to identify ischemic strokes after discharge from the index hospitalization for surgery. The primary predictor variable was atrial fibrillation newly diagnosed during the index hospitalization, as defined by previously validated present-on-admission codes. Patients were censored at postdischarge emergency department encounters or hospitalizations with a recorded diagnosis of atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS: Of 1,729,360 eligible patients, 24,711 (1.43%; 95% CI, 1.41%-1.45%) had new-onset perioperative atrial fibrillation during the index hospitalization and 13,952 (0.81%; 95% CI, 0.79%-0.82%) experienced a stroke after discharge. At 1 year after hospitalization for cardiac surgery, cumulative rates of stroke were 0.99% (95% CI, 0.81%-1.20%) in those with perioperative atrial fibrillation and 0.83% (95% CI, 0.76%-0.91%) in those without atrial fibrillation. At 1 year after noncardiac surgery, cumulative rates of stroke were 1.47% (95% CI, 1.24%-1.75%) in those with perioperative atrial fibrillation and 0.36% (95% CI, 0.35%-0.37%) in those without atrial fibrillation. In a Cox proportional hazards analysis accounting for potential confounders, perioperative atrial fibrillation was associated with subsequent stroke both after cardiac surgery (hazard ratio, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.6) and noncardiac surgery (hazard ratio, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.7-2.3). The association was significantly stronger for perioperative atrial fibrillation after noncardiac vs cardiac surgery (Pā€‰<ā€‰.001 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients hospitalized for surgery, perioperative atrial fibrillation was associated with an increased long-term risk of ischemic stroke, especially following noncardiac surgery.

DOI10.1001/jama.2014.9143
Alternate JournalJAMA
PubMed ID25117130
PubMed Central IDPMC4277813
Grant ListK23 NS082367 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States
R01 NS034179 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States
R01 NS037853 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States
K23NS082367 / NS / NINDS NIH HHS / United States